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CONFLICT MANAGEMENT IN THE BALKANS:

THE ROLE OF THE UNITED STATES AND RUSSIA

 

Dr. Yelena GUSSKOVA

Russian Academy of Science, Moscow

1997

 

        Numerous organizations and institutions have made their contribution to the search for a lasting settlement of the Balkan conflict in the past five years. The well-established household names were there from the early days, such as the United Nations (UN), the Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe (CSCE) and the European Union (EU); and several new ones subsequently made their appearance - the International Conference on Former Yugoslavia (ICFY), the big and small contact groups, commissions and committees. Many of the foreign ministers of European countries and the United States have spent much time on the Yugoslav problem by taking part in talks with their colleagues and the warring parties, visiting Zagreb, Belgrade and Sarajevo, drawing up ever new plans and drafting countless documents.

        The Big Seven and NATO also dealt with the Balkan problems at their respective meetings, although such subjects were supposedly outside the proper sphere of their activity. And quite different methods were used in the process - from negotiations, ingratiations and ultimatums to the use of brute force.

        Now that the crisis is in its sixth year one is led to conclude that, invariably, those organizations' efforts have not yielded desired results. Not one of these international organizations was successful in putting an end to the war: neither the European Union - which seemed very close to attaining that goal in 1992 - nor the UN, which had a good chance of doing so in 1994. Even less successful was the CSCE, whose statutory mission was to seek settlement of European crises. If we look at the dynamics of the conflict, it will be clear that as a result of the tempestuous activity of the international organizations the crisis had only deepened and widening. Then the natural question arises: why? Let us start by postulating the following two factors.

 

1.      The Factor of Interests. Had all those international organizations truly wished to resolve the nascent crisis in the Balkans, there is little doubt that they could have done so any time starting in mid-1991. It is remarkable, however, that in their search for a solution those august bodies proceeded from the interests of the countries they represented - or by whom they were dominated - rather than the interests of the people of former Yugoslavia themselves.

2.               The Factor of Methods. The negotiation process in Bosnia looked much like multi-layered cake consisting of various negotiating groups: the ICFY was trying to convince the conflicting parties to adopt numerous plans of settlement; the UNO was also separately engaged in the negotiation process through the efforts of the personal representative of  the UN Secretary-Gerneral, Yasushi Akashi; the Contact Groups (big and small), formed ad hoc, were also weaving their web of negotiations, and engaging for this purpose various foreign ministers or their representatives.

 

Sometimes those processes were intertwined, often they got into each other's way and only on rare occasions they were fruitfully coordinated. And although all of them claimed to be striving to attain peace, they were fatally flawed: endless violations of the law of nations, disregard for the realities of history, brazen lack of objectivity and the escalating anti-Serb stand - adopted ever since the outbreak of the crisis - could hardly contribute to the true settlement of the conflict.

        On the subject of interests, it was two countries - Germany and the United States - which have played the main destabilizing role in the Balkan crisis.

        Germany has acted as a catalyst in the conflict situation in Yugoslavia from the outset, as was initially apparent in its pressure on its European partners to extend hasty, premature and ill-advised recognition to the secessionist Yugoslav republics. Not unlike some other European countries, only more brazenly so, Germany made use if the Balkan conflict to attain its national goals. The unified Germany seeks leadership of ‘Europe,’ no longer only in the sphere of economy, but also in politics. However, it had to overcome the barriers to its new ambitions, barriers which had resulted from the postwar European security system.

For this reason Germany seeks to obtain the status of a permanent Security Council member, to legitimize its military presence outside its borders, and to boost its political and military potential. In pursuing its long-term policy in the Balkans, after the initial strong-arm tactic in pursuit of recognition, Germany sought to act unobtrusively. Slowly but surely it ensured its "presence" in the former Yugoslavia: it has become a member of the Contact Group, took part in the Rapid Reaction Force, and its representative was installed in Mostar as EU administrator.

        German foreign policy became strongly Balkan-oriented in the late 1980s. According to the recollections of General Veljko Kadijevic, former Defense Minister of SFR Yugoslavia, in the last few years before the country’s break-up the German military attaché in Belgrade did not conceal his extremely negative stand on Yugoslavia. He permitted himself such liberties as saying that "Yugoslavia does not exist", referring to "Serb swine," asserting that "the best Serb is a dead Serb" and adding, in case there remained any doubt as to his sympathies, that he "cannot bear the sight of a single Serb." /1/. This was merely a crude but accurate indicator of the growing mood in Bonn; and when in 1991 the United States left it to the EC to try and settle the nascent conflict, "Germany launched an open offensive on all fronts: political, economical and military" /2/.

        Germany's strategic goals in the Balkans presupposed the inclusion of Croatia and Slovenia in its economic zone, providing it with the control of major international crossroads and ensuring it a direct access to the Adriatic and the Mediterranean, as well as an extended section of the Danube valley.

If the corrolary of such policy was the single-minded support for Bosnia’s Moslems, its welcome consequence was the favorable disposition towards Germany of its chief oil and gas suppliers in the Arab world. Germany’s insistence on the international recognition of Bosnia-Herzegovina as a Moslem-dominated “multiethnic” state had a geostrategic logic based on its decision-makers’ perception of their country’s best interests. The same logic prompted Germany to support Croatia, to supply funds and arms for its separation, to protect it from sanctions regardless of its crimes, and to spur on to military actions.

        The United States switched over, during the last decade, from seeking consensus with its friends and allies to imposing its will - on them as well as on its perceived foes - from the position of strength. The U.S. rediscovery of fist-banging in the complicated system of international relations was explained by some proponents of such new assertiveness as its return to the road of global international relations /note 3/.

        Several commentators have found America’s explicit anti-Serb bias hard to understand; but the fact is undeniable. According to a veteran New York Times journalist with long Balkan experience, David Binder, the U.S. has long had a strategy of Serbia's political, economic and military isolation. That concept, he claims, included inducements to political and even military co-operation between Bosnian Moslems, Albanians, Macedonians and Croats. His conclusion is that the U.S. policy was aimed at reducing Serbia to the lowest possible level as a factor in the Balkans /4/.

There are several possible explanations for the anti-Serb edge of Washington’s policy. Regardless of their relative weight, those reasons are a result of deliberate policy choices of certain policy-making elites in Washington, and not a result of some "error," or “misunderstanding.”  Some motives worth exploring are as follows:

 

1.     The desire to exploit the break-up of former Yugoslavia as a legal, political and military-strategic precedent for the break-up of the former USSR.

2.        Support rendered for the Bosnian Moslems was supposed to prove that the USA do not have an a priori anti-Moslem bias.

3.     As a result of increased demand for arms by newly-fangled U.S. clients in the Balkans, the U.S. military-industrial complex has been given a welcome boost. On a broader front, it is important to revive the image of a looming enemy in the East.

4.     The Serbs are a soft target, and humbling them was a low-cost foreign policy success, welcome in the run-up to last November’s election.

5.     The desire to redefine and strengthen the political role of the U.S. in Europe: Washington has taken steps to convince its partners that not only the Yugoslavs, but also the Europeans in general, can never cope with their problems without the U.S.

6.     By extending the role of NATO to the Balkans the U.S. has revitalized an ailing organization, confirmed its leadership within it, and laid ground for an eventual expansion of NATO eastwards.

 

        Since late 1989 the foreign powers-that-be had dramatically increased their involvement in the developments in Yugoslavia. /5/  Germany and the U.S. agreed on the need for a major realignment in the area, including the break-up of the YPA which nominally still ranked as one of the most powerful armies of Europe. Any attempt to revive the traditionally close Serbo-Russian relations was to be resisted. All that could be attained by the break up of the South Slav state in the western Balkans.

On the other hand, a mix of economic and political goals may help explain the imposition of unprecedentedly cruel and long-extended sanctions on Serbia and Montenegro (the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia), the state which did not take part in the conflict. Economic ruin is the precondition for political vulnerability and dependence. Yugoslav bank accounts in western banks remain partly blocked, and the “outer wall” of sanctions is still in place.

If one were to look for one reason which carries greater weight than other, then it must concern NATO. The Balkans were the testing ground for changes which were to be introduced in the Alliance’s role and functions. A new place was to be found for it in Europe and the world, and a new justification for its "peace-keeping" activity.

       One may pinpoint the following important spheres in the U.S. "Balkan" activity;

 

a)    the imposition of its own viewpoints in the negotiation process;

b)        alteration of NATO's role, and the construction of a legal basis for its participation in the "peace-keeping" processes in the Balkans;

c)        orchestration of the disinformation campaign, a veritable anti-Serb media blitz which served as a confirmation of the “just” nature of the U.S. policy;

d)        neutralization of Russia’s role and presence in the Balkans.

 

        It is beyond the scope of this paper to deal with any of these aspects except rather fleetingly:

 

        The United States' active intervention in the negotiation process in Bosnia-Herzegovina dates back to January 1993, and is associated with the change of administration.  Just a few days after Bill Clinton was sworn in, David Owen - who was trying to devise a peace plan for Bosnia-Herzegovina - was informed that the President did not intend to support the ICFY peace plan. It soon turned out that, far from supporting it, the United States were going to sabotage that plan.

        On February 10, 1993 the Clinton Administration made public its own plan for the settlement of the conflict in the Bosnia-Herzegovina. This was tantamount to the adoption by the United States of an active policy in the Balkans, and ipso facto in Europe as a whole. Apart from other things, the plan provided for more drastic sanctions to be applied against Serbia, for coordination of the United Nations activity with NATO, and for possible use of force /6/.

Even that plan was viewed by the Bosnian Moslems as insufficiently tough and decisive; we can only speculate whether it was of their own accord, or upon discrete prompting from Washington, that they asked the U.S. to bring its troops into Bosnia. /7/ The new U.S. assertiveness, coupled with the public request of the “legal” government of Bosnia, made the prospect of NATO forces’ engagement in action more likely. An alliance created in order to deter the alleged Soviet threat was finally gearing up for a fight with some million and a half Serbs west of the Drina!

        The United States started pushing its “peace plans” with customary Yankee energy - by force and without heed to the interests of the conflicting parties. Such policy was crowned by the Dayton Agreement, which came as a result of NATO's U.S.-led military pressure, and one-sided U.S. political activity. The net result is the reintroduction of bullying and Diktat as a norm, rather than discretely applied exception, in international relations.

        Parallel to this, a mighty media campaign was initiated even before the first shots were fired. In 1991 in the territory of Yugoslavia, and later in Europe and the world, a veritable information Blitzkrieg was waged against the Serbs, in which they were thoroughly defeated long before their positions were bombed by NATO. As David Owen - certainly not a Serbs’ friend - pointed out, the media war, with its distortions and propaganda masquerading as news, was an essential ingredient of the overall design. /8/

        The main goal of the media was to establish a number of stereotype ideas and bring them home to the readership, audiences, and the political figures. Many atrocity stories, carried by the media throughout North America and Europe - even Russia was also among them in 1991-1992 - were based on reprints and second-hand accounts of reports by other, mostly American, news sources (eg. New York Newsday’s mass-rape fabrications, for which its author, Roy Gutman, got a Pulitzer!). I will name but a few of the stereotype ideas which have been successfully spread among the public.

 

1.     The nascent conflict was portrayed as a struggle between democracy (Slovenia, Croatia) and a Communist dictatorship (Serbia, rump Yugoslavia). Hence the obvious conclusion: democracy should be supported, for the West has been always its advocate.

2.     To depict the federal leaders as orthodox Communists, and consequently the last bulwark of Communism which had to be destroyed.

3.     An image of one party, allegedly responsible for the conflict, should be constructed and then gradually transformed into enemy image.

4.     The next step was to prepare a pretext for punishing the aggressor.

 

        So the media have made their contribution. Those who visited the UN mission in former Yugoslavia as a rule held several basic prejudices, formed either under the influence of the press or in accordance with their states' assignments.

At least most soldiers on the ground remained mercifully impervious to such distortions. Several UNPROFOR commanders succeeded each other in the years of blue helmets activity in the Balkans. Curiously enough, almost all of them left their position before expiration of term, and all of them ended up by criticizing the UN mission. When they came to former Yugoslavia many officials of international organizations found quite a different picture on the spot than that presented by media. They soon came to realize that the situation was not so simple after all, that it was not the Serbs who were the only guilty party, that the powers-that-be are not motivated solely by the policy of peace and good intentions, and that the concept of justice and equal treatment of the parties to the conflict were not applicable to the UN policy in the Balkans.

Moreover, honest diplomats and military officers could witness the biased attitude of the leading officials who controlled the peace-keeping operations, which was manifested in the brazenly selective treatment of information. They witnessed the routine manipulation of facts in order to make them confirm the ready-made formula of the Serbs' guilt. That is why some of them left their posts before the expiration of the mandate, while others made their confessions after the expiration of their term by granting interviews or publishing memoirs and recollections.

        Thus Yasushi Akashi was undoubtedly a witness to many forgeries and absurdities. After he left the UN mission, he, for instance, openly declared that the Serbs had nothing to do with the 1994 explosion on the Markale market.

        Ian Saegers, a Belgian colonel who was a member of the UN observation mission in Sarajevo, Bihac and Western Slavonia, also published his recollections. Colonel Saegers believes that, among the victims of the military drama in former Yugoslavia, one should include many honest and independent observers, whose duty was to watch the developments and act as honest brokers. And yet, they had to listen to hypocritical statements and distortions, and even tacitly condone them, while feeling helpless and prevented from telling the truth. Col. Saegers cited several examples of such deceit - arms deliveries for Croats and Moslems, espionage activities in favor of Croatia at the Zagreb headquarters, and false accusations against Serbs on “ethnic cleansing.” /9/ There are many such stories yet to be told. When I worked at the Zagreb UN headquarters I witnessed several cases of distorting facts in the Moslems' favor.

        Yasushi Akashi was severely criticized by the US side whenever he failed to fulfill their orders. One may recall that in the summer of 1994 the U.S. ambassador at the U.N., Mrs. M. Albright, openly expressed her dissatisfaction with Akashi, stressing that he should know “whose money pays his salary.” In June 1995 Washington angrily reacted to Akashi's letter, sent to the leadership of the Republic of Srpska, in which he promised that the Rapid Reaction Force would act exclusively in accordance with the UNPROFOR mandate and with its peace-keeping mission. Nicholas Burns, the State Department spokesman, reproached Akashi for having sent the letter without preliminary consultations with the Security Council and the U.S. government. /10/ Burns called the letter “highly inappropriate” and far removed from the American concept of theon Force.

        The U.S. and Russia. The USA could not but take Russia into account in the process of the elaboration of its Balkan strategy. Various methods were used to reduce Russia's influence.

 

1.     An attempt to neutralize Russia by taking advantage of its internal crisis. Prior to February 1992 Russian policy was marked by noninterference in internal affairs of Yugoslavia, by its support to SFRY's unity, but in February 1992 Russia made an sharp turn in its appraisal of the developments in Yugoslavia, it admitted the fact of federation's break-up, but refused to take part in the crisis settlement. Moscow's passivity made it possible for the Western countries to build their own system of relations with the former Yugoslav republics. That's why that period was marked by sharp contradictions in Russia's approach to the Balkan developments.

2.            An attempt to make Russia's stand closer to the American one, without necessarily asking for any concessions or counter-favors. Former Russian Foreign Minister Andrei Kozyrev was instrumental in pursuing such policy. The fact is that gradually, especially after the signing of the Belovezh Agreements in December 1991 and the break-up of the USSR, and due to absence of the federal mechanism of elaboration and adoption of decisions on foreign policy issues, decision-making in the diplomatic field increasingly depended on him personally.

3.            Russian policy-making establishment was attracted to Europe and the USA by the notions of democracy and economic prosperity. It apparently believed that the establishment of friendly relations with the Western countries' leaders would lead to a conflict-free situation. Moreover, new Russian diplomacy explicitly negated the aspect of national interest in its foreign policy. Such self-proclaimed absence of Russian interests in the Balkans was skilfully exploited by Western diplomacies. Kozyrev agreed on all points with his American counterparts and acted accordingly. Being wary of Russia's anticipated pro-Serb stand, the West was quite happy that it had succeeded in attaining "a high degree of harmony and identity of views" of their approaches to the Yugoslav crisis. In Lord Owen's opinion, Russia played “a very constructive role” in the diplomatic process. It did not exercise its right of veto, although Yeltsin was subjected to considerable pressure by the nationalists. /11/

4.            Russia had made some effort in the spring of 1993 to reassert its role, but it turned out that Moscow was  too late to join the process of crisis settlement after its traditional place had been already occupied.

 

In that period the United States preferred to make use of Russia in pursuit of its own goals in the Balkans. To be more precise, the U.S. sought to exploit Moscow’s traditional contacts with the Serbs in order to pressure the Serb side into maximum concessions. At that time the Vance-Owen plan for peace in Bosnia was being actively discussed, and it was necessary to find a side which could exert influence on the “intransigent” Serbs. That was exactly the time to contact Russia. As has been noted even by some boldly inclined western media, the West was pinning hopes on Russian-Serb traditional contacts as a means of implementing Western plans and designs!

And so, far from being treated as a “partner” in the new world order, Moscow was reduced to the status of a tool of western policy. It was used for the sole purpose of exerting pressure on the Serbs; it was even allowed to be generous with the promises to the Serb side, but at all times it was denied any chance of fulfilling them.

During the Sarajevo crisis of February 1994 the contradictory role of Russia was quite obvious: on the one hand, Russia acted as the carrot, with NATO being the stick. On the other, it was the courage and devotion of the Russian battalion that may have prevented air strikes against Serb positions. In response to Russia's pressure the Serbs withdrew heavy weapons from the Sarajevo region (while the Bosnian-Muslim government did nothing of the kind) and gave their consent to reopen the airport in Sarajevo and open the one in Tuzla.

        Russian diplomacy showed special zeal in its attempt to make the Serbs give in on the subject of the Tuzla airport. There are few well-equipped airfields in Bosnia. The Serbs understood well its strategic importance, and they were adamant that the Tuzla air base would not under any circumstances be ceded to the UNPROFOR. Russia's offer to assume control of the airport, confirmed by Andrei Kozyrev, served as a final argument that influenced the Serbs to make concessions.

As the former president of the Republic of Srpska, Dr. Radovan Karadzic, somewhat naively put it at the time: "We trust Russia’s unbiased approach. Their presence serves as a guarantee that Moslems won't receive arms instead of food supplies".

The airport was duly opened. Russia was celebrating what seemed to be an important, albeit rare diplomatic victory; but in reality it had every reason to grieve over its political oversight. Not a single Russian promise was realized. Extensive military supplies reached the Moslems through the Tuzla airport. Furthermore, after Dayton it has become clear that the U.S. intended to keep Tuzla as its military base.

        The U.S. regularly paid lip service to Russia's importance in the crisis resolution, but it never took Russia's stand into account. Moreover, whenever - in the view of Washington - Russia dared to go too far in its diplomatic activity, resolute steps were taken to put it in its “proper” place. For instance, in Vladivostok, on March 14, 1994, Secretary of State Christopher subtly intimated to his Russian colleague Kozyrev that the Russian diplomacy should refrain from making any “excessive fuss” which could jeopardize the intricate web of compromises woven by Washington’s envoys. He effectively advised Moscow not to stir things up come what may, and to return to the blessed time when Russians were invited to talks as “co-sponsors,” - effectively to take the Americans’ chesnuts out of the fire, if and when necessary. /12/

        More often than not, Russia was simply not informed about any actions to which Moscow could react in a manner ill suited to American interests. In February 1994 the ambassadors of three powers - the U.S., Britain and France - visited the U.N. Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali and demanded his approval of the planned air strikes, in total disregard of Russia’s stated position. /13/ In April 1994, yet again, Russia was not informed of the planned air strikes against Serb positions. According to the Moscow Foreign Ministry statement of April 11, 1994, "regrettably, Russia was informed antedate about the decision to use the air power." /14/. This incident even prompted President Yeltsin to talk to President Clinton. Yeltsin claims that he insisted that it was unacceptable to make a decision on such issues as  striking Serb positions without preliminary consultations between the US and Russia /15/. Moscow issued sharply worded warnings to NATO and the U.N. regarding air strikes without prior notice.

Evidently, Russia’s verbal assertiveness did not stir NATO in its determination to launch new air raids. The Westerners correctly assumed that the Russian president and his foreign minister placed too much value on Russia's “stable” contacts with Western Europe and the United States to put them at risk because of the Bosnian Serb “intransigence.” In a TV interview Kozyrev’s assistant and personal envoy to Pale, Vitaly Churkin, soon charged the Serbian side with major responsibility for the deteriorating situation. After talks with the Secretary of State Christopher in late April 1994, Moscow never raised the issue of its opposition to air strikes, and hurried to assure the public that there existed no disagreements between the US and Russia. According to Christopher, Boris Yeltsin went out of his way to assure him that "nobody will succeed in driving a wedge between Russia and the USA, between him and President Clinton" /16/.

        The Big Seven's Halifax decision on Bosnia was adopted in June 1995 without even a formal consultation with Russia. All decisions had been taken before Yeltsin's arrival. Illusory as the independence of Russian Balkan policy was, in the summer of 1995 it vanished into thin air. Having initially been a founding member of the Contact group, Moscow was not even invited to its session held on August 3, 1995, as a result of Russia’s publicly stated disapproval of Croatia's offensive in Western Bosnia. Kremlin sent a protest to the Croatian president, Franjo Tudjman, and proposed that the Security Council adopt a resolution condemning Croatia's involvement in the Bosnian conflict.

At the London meeting of foreign and defense ministers and chiefs of staff of the countries which had their peace-keepers in former Yugoslavia, held two weeks previously, Russia finally acted with remarkable independence: its representatives went on record (together with the Ukraine) insisting on a political resolution of the crisis.

Owing to Russia's efforts the political conference in London in July 1995 was not transformed into a military one, and the concept of resolving the problem by use of force did not prevail at that time. Therefore, “the West” (under active U.S. gudance) had to resort to the complicated procedure of NATO's independent activation for the purpose of using force against the Serbs. The chiefs of staff of Britain, the United States and France conferred at the MoD in London. In the ensuing week or so the plans of operations in Bosnia were extensively discussed by NATO representatives. They adopted them on August 2, having secured the support of Boutros-Ghali, who had surrendered his powers of veto on the air strikes directly to the NATO representative and the UNPROFOR commander. Decision-making being transferred to NATO, Secretary of State Christopher stated with satisfaction that the agreements thus reached “did not depend on the Russians' approval,” or - more generally - on Russia’s vote. /17/

        Thus the Balkan crisis has drastically undermined the old international and European security systems. It has revealed their ineffectiveness and impotence, and it has instigated a new alignment of forces in the struggle for redrawn spheres of influence. Russia has been ousted from the zone of its traditional interests, while the political, economic and military presence of the U.S. and Germany in South-East Europe have increased enormously.

As a consequence, considerable shifts are currently taking place in Russia, which has been finally forced to re-examine its national interests. This reappraisal - one hopes - may lead to Russia’s rediscovery of its proper role as a great power, and enable it to take an active part in the development of a model of general and all-round security for Europe in the 21st century.

 

Notes

 

1.       V. Kadijevic, My view of the Break-up, Belgrade: Politika Publications, 1993, p. 25.

 

2.       Ibid., p. 26.

 

3.       Interview with Lord Owen, ITAR-TASS, “SE” Series, Moscow, June 29, 1993, pp. 21-22.

 

4.       David Binder, The significance of Kosovo for the US and its attitude to the Yugoslav crisis, Nasa Borba, Belgrade, July 4, 1996, p. 14.

 

5.        Kadijevic, op. Cit., pp. 35-36.

 

6.       US Agenda for Bosnia, Politika, Belgrade, February 11, 1993, p. 3.

 

7.        Bosnia’s UN envoy advocates greater U.S. involvement, ITAR/TASS, February 14, 1993.

 

8.       David Owen’s interview with BBC TV’s Panorama, November 1995.

 

9.      Recollections of a Belgian Officer, Srbija Bulletin, January 1996, No. 26, pp. 28-30.

 

10.     News Bulletin, Moscow, January 24, 1995, p. 1.

 

11.     Interview with Lord Owen, ITAR-TASS: “SE” series, Moscow, April 30, 1993, L7.

 

12.     M. Shipanov, Our triumph against America’s, Kuranti, Moscow, March 23, 1994, p. 3.

 

13.     Our job not found, Kuranti, Moscow, January 29, 1994, p. 2.

 

14.    Russian Foreign Ministry report, Diplomatic Gazette, Moscow, 1994, No. 9/10, pg. 63-64.

 

15.     A. Baturin:Moscow outraged by NATO bombing of Bosnian Serbs, Izvestia, April 12, 1994, p.1

 

16.    Estimates of cost proven incorrect, Nezavisimaja Gazeta, Moscow, April 22, 1994, p. 2.

 

17.    What does Moscow have in mind?, Pravda, August 12, 1995, pp. 1 & 3.

 

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